Discharge with Pancreatic Fistula after Pancreaticoduodenectomy Independently Predicts Hospital Readmission.

Readmission rates after pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) are among the highest of any surgical procedure. The purpose of this study was to identify those factors present at discharge that may predict readmission after PD. All patients undergoing PD between 2010 and 2015 at a very high (>35 PD/year) volume center were entered into a prospective database. Twenty factors present at discharge from index admission identified on univariate analysis were subjected to multivariate analysis to identify those independently predictive of 30-day hospital readmission. A total of 220 patients underwent PD during the study period, 88 per cent of which had cancer. Mean age was 64.4 ± 11.7 years with slight male preponderance (54.5%) and significant African American representation (33.2%). Surgical complications occurred in 67.3 per cent of patients the most common of which included infectious/leak (30%), gastrointestinal (29%), cardiorespiratory (13%), other (13%), minor complications (7%), multi system failure (5%), and new onset diabetes (3%). The 30-day readmission rate was 27.3 per cent and was due to infection (89%), failure to thrive (32%), nausea/vomiting (15%), or other (15%). On multivariate analysis, presence of pancreatic leak/fistula at discharge was the only significant predictor of readmission, present in 62.5 per cent of all readmitted patients (P = 0.001). Comorbidities, length of stay, insurance status, obesity, smoking, and discharge to a care venue other than home did not predict readmission. Patients manifesting pancreatic fistula after PD are at high risk for hospital readmission. Enhanced scrutiny regarding suitability for discharge should be exercised in these patients and measures taken to minimize readmission whenever possible.